Despite an already strong run, Guangdong SACA Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300464) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 38% in the last thirty days. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 8.3% over the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Guangdong SACA Precision Manufacturing's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Machinery industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.8x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong SACA Precision Manufacturing
For instance, Guangdong SACA Precision Manufacturing's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong SACA Precision Manufacturing, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Guangdong SACA Precision Manufacturing's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 19%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 73% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that Guangdong SACA Precision Manufacturing's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
Guangdong SACA Precision Manufacturing's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Guangdong SACA Precision Manufacturing revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Guangdong SACA Precision Manufacturing that you need to be mindful of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.