The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Tokyo Individualized Educational Institute, Inc. (TSE:4745) despite the healthy numbers. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.
See our latest analysis for Tokyo Individualized Educational Institute
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
For the year to August 2024, Tokyo Individualized Educational Institute had an accrual ratio of -0.35. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of JP¥1.8b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of JP¥1.07b. Tokyo Individualized Educational Institute shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Happily for shareholders, Tokyo Individualized Educational Institute produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Tokyo Individualized Educational Institute's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Tokyo Individualized Educational Institute at this point in time. For example, Tokyo Individualized Educational Institute has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Tokyo Individualized Educational Institute's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.