There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. So when we looked at First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) and its trend of ROCE, we really liked what we saw.
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for First Watch Restaurant Group:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.036 = US$47m ÷ (US$1.4b - US$119m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
So, First Watch Restaurant Group has an ROCE of 3.6%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Hospitality industry average of 10%.
See our latest analysis for First Watch Restaurant Group
In the above chart we have measured First Watch Restaurant Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering First Watch Restaurant Group for free.
We're glad to see that ROCE is heading in the right direction, even if it is still low at the moment. Over the last five years, returns on capital employed have risen substantially to 3.6%. The amount of capital employed has increased too, by 72%. The increasing returns on a growing amount of capital is common amongst multi-baggers and that's why we're impressed.
A company that is growing its returns on capital and can consistently reinvest in itself is a highly sought after trait, and that's what First Watch Restaurant Group has. Astute investors may have an opportunity here because the stock has declined 24% in the last three years. So researching this company further and determining whether or not these trends will continue seems justified.
Before jumping to any conclusions though, we need to know what value we're getting for the current share price. That's where you can check out our FREE intrinsic value estimation for FWRG that compares the share price and estimated value.
While First Watch Restaurant Group isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.