Corero Network Security plc (LON:CNS) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 42% share price jump in the last month. The last month tops off a massive increase of 166% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Corero Network Security is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 7.6x, considering almost half the companies in the United Kingdom's Software industry have P/S ratios below 2.1x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Corero Network Security
Recent times have been advantageous for Corero Network Security as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Corero Network Security.The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Corero Network Security's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 9.9% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 27% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 13% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 9.5%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Corero Network Security's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The strong share price surge has lead to Corero Network Security's P/S soaring as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Corero Network Security's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Corero Network Security you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.