Nokia Oyj (HEL:NOKIA) will pay a dividend of €0.03 on the 31st of October. The dividend yield will be 3.3% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
View our latest analysis for Nokia Oyj
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, Nokia Oyj's dividend made up quite a large proportion of earnings but only 27% of free cash flows. This leaves plenty of cash for reinvestment into the business.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 93.4% over the next year. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 38% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was €0.11, compared to the most recent full-year payment of €0.13. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 1.7% over that duration. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Nokia Oyj has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 38% per annum. Earnings per share is growing nicely, but the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends. This might be sustainable, but we wonder why Nokia Oyj is not retaining those earnings to reinvest in growth.
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Nokia Oyj that investors should take into consideration. Is Nokia Oyj not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.