Is New Journey Health Technology GroupLTD (SZSE:002219) Using Too Much Debt?

Simply Wall St · 10/18 01:08

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that New Journey Health Technology Group Co.,LTD (SZSE:002219) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for New Journey Health Technology GroupLTD

What Is New Journey Health Technology GroupLTD's Debt?

As you can see below, New Journey Health Technology GroupLTD had CN¥1.78b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥492.3m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.29b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002219 Debt to Equity History October 18th 2024

How Healthy Is New Journey Health Technology GroupLTD's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that New Journey Health Technology GroupLTD had liabilities of CN¥3.26b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥694.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥492.3m in cash and CN¥1.39b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.08b.

This deficit isn't so bad because New Journey Health Technology GroupLTD is worth CN¥8.69b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While New Journey Health Technology GroupLTD's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.6) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.7, suggesting high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. More concerning, New Journey Health Technology GroupLTD saw its EBIT drop by 9.1% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is New Journey Health Technology GroupLTD's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, New Journey Health Technology GroupLTD's free cash flow amounted to 38% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

New Journey Health Technology GroupLTD's struggle to cover its interest expense with its EBIT had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example, its level of total liabilities is relatively strong. It's also worth noting that New Journey Health Technology GroupLTD is in the Healthcare industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think New Journey Health Technology GroupLTD's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for New Journey Health Technology GroupLTD (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.