Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Kudelski SA's (VTX:KUD) Low P/S

Simply Wall St · 10/17 04:07

Kudelski SA's (VTX:KUD) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Electronic industry in Switzerland, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.7x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for Kudelski

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SWX:KUD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 17th 2024

How Has Kudelski Performed Recently?

With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, Kudelski has been doing quite well of late. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to follow the rest of the industry downwards, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Kudelski's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Kudelski would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 32%. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 3.5% per annum as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 14% per year, which paints a poor picture.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Kudelski's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Kudelski's P/S

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Kudelski's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Kudelski (1 is a bit concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Kudelski, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.