Investors in Tech-Bank Food (SZSE:002124) from five years ago are still down 74%, even after 16% gain this past week

Simply Wall St · 10/16 22:46

Tech-Bank Food Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002124) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 21% in the last month. But will that repair the damage for the weary investors who have owned this stock as it declined over half a decade? Probably not. Like a ship taking on water, the share price has sunk 76% in that time. It's true that the recent bounce could signal the company is turning over a new leaf, but we are not so sure. The million dollar question is whether the company can justify a long term recovery.

The recent uptick of 16% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

Check out our latest analysis for Tech-Bank Food

Tech-Bank Food isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

In the last half decade, Tech-Bank Food saw its revenue increase by 7.5% per year. That's a fairly respectable growth rate. So the stock price fall of 12% per year seems pretty steep. The truth is that the growth might be below expectations, and investors are probably worried about the continual losses.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002124 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 16th 2024

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Tech-Bank Food will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

A Different Perspective

Investors in Tech-Bank Food had a tough year, with a total loss of 30%, against a market gain of about 0.4%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 12% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Tech-Bank Food (1 can't be ignored) that you should be aware of.

Of course Tech-Bank Food may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.