There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating Anhui Construction Engineering Group (SHSE:600502), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Anhui Construction Engineering Group:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.068 = CN¥4.6b ÷ (CN¥176b - CN¥109b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Therefore, Anhui Construction Engineering Group has an ROCE of 6.8%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 5.7% average generated by the Construction industry.
See our latest analysis for Anhui Construction Engineering Group
In the above chart we have measured Anhui Construction Engineering Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Anhui Construction Engineering Group .
The returns on capital haven't changed much for Anhui Construction Engineering Group in recent years. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 6.8% and the business has deployed 139% more capital into its operations. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Anhui Construction Engineering Group has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 62%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
Long story short, while Anhui Construction Engineering Group has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. Since the stock has gained an impressive 53% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
If you'd like to know more about Anhui Construction Engineering Group, we've spotted 2 warning signs, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.