Is NeoGenomics (NASDAQ:NEO) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St · 10/16 10:43

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, NeoGenomics, Inc. (NASDAQ:NEO) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for NeoGenomics

What Is NeoGenomics's Debt?

As you can see below, NeoGenomics had US$539.7m of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$387.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$151.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:NEO Debt to Equity History October 16th 2024

How Healthy Is NeoGenomics' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, NeoGenomics had liabilities of US$290.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$437.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$387.9m in cash and US$148.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$191.5m.

Given NeoGenomics has a market capitalization of US$1.80b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if NeoGenomics can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, NeoGenomics reported revenue of US$628m, which is a gain of 14%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, NeoGenomics had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$87m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$30m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for NeoGenomics you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.