Novatek Microelectronics Corp. (TWSE:3034), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the TWSE, rising to highs of NT$612 and falling to the lows of NT$490. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Novatek Microelectronics' current trading price of NT$515 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Novatek Microelectronics’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
See our latest analysis for Novatek Microelectronics
According to our valuation model, Novatek Microelectronics seems to be fairly priced at around 11% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Novatek Microelectronics today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is NT$575.50, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Novatek Microelectronics’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a relatively muted profit growth of 8.7% expected over the next couple of years, growth doesn’t seem like a key driver for a buy decision for Novatek Microelectronics, at least in the short term.
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 3034’s future outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 3034, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Novatek Microelectronics you should be aware of.
If you are no longer interested in Novatek Microelectronics, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.