SMS Lifesciences India (NSE:SMSLIFE) investors are up 13% in the past week, but earnings have declined over the last five years

Simply Wall St · 10/16 00:49

Long term investing can be life changing when you buy and hold the truly great businesses. While not every stock performs well, when investors win, they can win big. To wit, the SMS Lifesciences India Limited (NSE:SMSLIFE) share price has soared 506% over five years. If that doesn't get you thinking about long term investing, we don't know what will. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 95% gain in the last three months. Anyone who held for that rewarding ride would probably be keen to talk about it.

Since the stock has added ₹579m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

Check out our latest analysis for SMS Lifesciences India

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

SMS Lifesciences India's earnings per share are down 1.7% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

We doubt the modest 0.09% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. The revenue growth of 0.5% per year hardly seems impressive. So why is the share price up? It's not immediately obvious to us, but a closer look at the company's progress over time might yield answers.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:SMSLIFE Earnings and Revenue Growth October 16th 2024

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free interactive report on SMS Lifesciences India's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, SMS Lifesciences India's TSR for the last 5 years was 511%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that SMS Lifesciences India shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 213% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 44%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for SMS Lifesciences India you should be aware of, and 3 of them can't be ignored.

SMS Lifesciences India is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of small cap companies at attractive valuations which insiders have been buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.