There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at SDI (TWSE:2351), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for SDI:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.10 = NT$908m ÷ (NT$13b - NT$3.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, SDI has an ROCE of 10%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 8.8% generated by the Semiconductor industry.
Check out our latest analysis for SDI
Above you can see how the current ROCE for SDI compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for SDI .
Things have been pretty stable at SDI, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if SDI doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time. With fewer investment opportunities, it makes sense that SDI has been paying out a decent 56% of its earnings to shareholders. Given the business isn't reinvesting in itself, it makes sense to distribute a portion of earnings among shareholders.
In summary, SDI isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 143% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
If you want to continue researching SDI, you might be interested to know about the 2 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.
While SDI isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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