Investors Interested In LARK Distilling Co. Ltd.'s (ASX:LRK) Revenues

Simply Wall St · 10/15 20:25

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Beverage industry in Australia have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.5x, LARK Distilling Co. Ltd. (ASX:LRK) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 6.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

See our latest analysis for LARK Distilling

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:LRK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 15th 2024

How LARK Distilling Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, LARK Distilling's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on LARK Distilling will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like LARK Distilling's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 16%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 18% per annum during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 6.9% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that LARK Distilling's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that LARK Distilling maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Beverage industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - LARK Distilling has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).