These 4 Measures Indicate That China Datang Corporation Renewable Power (HKG:1798) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

Simply Wall St · 10/15 01:58

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that China Datang Corporation Renewable Power Co., Limited (HKG:1798) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for China Datang Corporation Renewable Power

What Is China Datang Corporation Renewable Power's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, China Datang Corporation Renewable Power had CN¥58.7b of debt, up from CN¥50.4b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥2.46b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥56.2b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1798 Debt to Equity History October 15th 2024

How Healthy Is China Datang Corporation Renewable Power's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that China Datang Corporation Renewable Power had liabilities of CN¥26.1b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥42.1b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.46b and CN¥21.0b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥44.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥14.1b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, China Datang Corporation Renewable Power would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.5, it's fair to say China Datang Corporation Renewable Power does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 3.0 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Investors should also be troubled by the fact that China Datang Corporation Renewable Power saw its EBIT drop by 19% over the last twelve months. If things keep going like that, handling the debt will about as easy as bundling an angry house cat into its travel box. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China Datang Corporation Renewable Power can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, China Datang Corporation Renewable Power reported free cash flow worth 17% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

On the face of it, China Datang Corporation Renewable Power's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its interest cover fails to inspire much confidence. Considering all the factors previously mentioned, we think that China Datang Corporation Renewable Power really is carrying too much debt. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for China Datang Corporation Renewable Power you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.