Inno Laser Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301021) 39% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St · 10/14 22:37

Inno Laser Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301021) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 39% share price jump in the last month. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 7.1% over the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Inno Laser Technology is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Machinery industry have P/S ratios below 2.6x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

See our latest analysis for Inno Laser Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301021 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 14th 2024

What Does Inno Laser Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Inno Laser Technology has been doing very well. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Inno Laser Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Inno Laser Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?

Inno Laser Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 51% gain to the company's top line. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Inno Laser Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Inno Laser Technology's P/S

The strong share price surge has lead to Inno Laser Technology's P/S soaring as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

The fact that Inno Laser Technology currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Inno Laser Technology that you need to be mindful of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).