Sichuan Crun Co., Ltd's (SZSE:002272) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 33%

Simply Wall St · 10/14 22:11

Despite an already strong run, Sichuan Crun Co., Ltd (SZSE:002272) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 33% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 3.1% isn't as attractive.

Even after such a large jump in price, Sichuan Crun may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.6x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Sichuan Crun

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002272 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 14th 2024

What Does Sichuan Crun's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Sichuan Crun's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Sichuan Crun will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sichuan Crun's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Sichuan Crun's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 4.5% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's understandable that Sichuan Crun's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

Despite Sichuan Crun's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Sichuan Crun confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Sichuan Crun (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).