What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Cheer Holding (NASDAQ:CHR) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Cheer Holding is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.11 = US$32m ÷ (US$333m - US$45m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, Cheer Holding has an ROCE of 11%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 6.3% generated by the Interactive Media and Services industry.
View our latest analysis for Cheer Holding
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Cheer Holding's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how Cheer Holding has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Cheer Holding's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
The trend of ROCE doesn't look fantastic because it's fallen from 40% five years ago, while the business's capital employed increased by 504%. However, some of the increase in capital employed could be attributed to the recent capital raising that's been completed prior to their latest reporting period, so keep that in mind when looking at the ROCE decrease. Cheer Holding probably hasn't received a full year of earnings yet from the new funds it raised, so these figures should be taken with a grain of salt.
On a side note, Cheer Holding has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 14% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
To conclude, we've found that Cheer Holding is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And investors may be expecting the fundamentals to get a lot worse because the stock has crashed 83% over the last three years. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Cheer Holding has the makings of a multi-bagger.
If you'd like to know more about Cheer Holding, we've spotted 4 warning signs, and 2 of them don't sit too well with us.
While Cheer Holding may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.