Nexity SA (EPA:NXI) Stock Catapults 28% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

Simply Wall St · 4d ago

Despite an already strong run, Nexity SA (EPA:NXI) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 11% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Nexity's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.3x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in France, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 15x and even P/E's above 26x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Nexity as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Nexity

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ENXTPA:NXI Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 29th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Nexity will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Growth For Nexity?

Nexity's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 60%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 86% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 1.5% per year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 15% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Nexity is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Despite Nexity's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Nexity's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Nexity that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).