Investor Optimism Abounds Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (NSE:BAJAJHIND) But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St · 09/29 02:34

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.2x in the Food industry in India, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited's (NSE:BAJAJHIND) P/S ratio of 0.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:BAJAJHIND Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 29th 2024

What Does Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. Perhaps the market believes the recent run-of-the-mill revenue performance isn't enough to outperform the industry, which has kept the P/S muted. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with revenue down 8.3% overall from three years ago. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar's P/S?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We find it unexpected that Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).