China Motor Bus Company, Limited (HKG:26) will pay a dividend of HK$0.30 on the 17th of October. This means the dividend yield will be fairly typical at 6.1%.
Check out our latest analysis for China Motor Bus Company
We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. China Motor Bus Company isn't generating any profits, and it is paying out a very high proportion of the cash it is earning. These payout levels would generally be quite difficult to keep up.
Looking forward, earnings per share could 83.6% over the next year if the trend of the last few years can't be broken. This means the company will be unprofitable and managers could face the tough choice between continuing to pay the dividend or taking pressure off the balance sheet.
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of HK$2.30 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of HK$3.20. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 3.4% per annum over that time. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Over the past five years, it looks as though China Motor Bus Company's EPS has declined at around 84% a year. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.
In summary, while it is good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we think that at current levels the payment isn't particularly sustainable. The company isn't making enough to be paying as much as it is, and the other factors don't look particularly promising either. The dividend doesn't inspire confidence that it will provide solid income in the future.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for China Motor Bus Company that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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