There's Reason For Concern Over Chengbang Eco-Environment Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603316) Massive 27% Price Jump

Simply Wall St · 09/29 01:07

Chengbang Eco-Environment Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603316) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 26% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Chengbang Eco-EnvironmentLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Construction industry have P/S ratios below 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Chengbang Eco-EnvironmentLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603316 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 29th 2024

How Chengbang Eco-EnvironmentLtd Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Chengbang Eco-EnvironmentLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Chengbang Eco-EnvironmentLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Chengbang Eco-EnvironmentLtd?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Chengbang Eco-EnvironmentLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 43%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 73% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Chengbang Eco-EnvironmentLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has lead to Chengbang Eco-EnvironmentLtd's P/S soaring as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Chengbang Eco-EnvironmentLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Chengbang Eco-EnvironmentLtd.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).