There's No Escaping iHuman Inc.'s (NYSE:IH) Muted Earnings Despite A 27% Share Price Rise

Simply Wall St · 09/28 14:27

iHuman Inc. (NYSE:IH) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 32% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, iHuman may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.7x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 19x and even P/E's higher than 34x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

For instance, iHuman's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for iHuman

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:IH Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 28th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on iHuman's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For iHuman?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like iHuman's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 22%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 15% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why iHuman is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Even after such a strong price move, iHuman's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of iHuman revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with iHuman.

If you're unsure about the strength of iHuman's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.