Improved Revenues Required Before Good Times Restaurants Inc. (NASDAQ:GTIM) Shares Find Their Feet

Simply Wall St · 09/28 12:15

Good Times Restaurants Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GTIM) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Hospitality industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.5x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Good Times Restaurants

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:GTIM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 28th 2024

How Has Good Times Restaurants Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Good Times Restaurants' financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. Perhaps the market believes the recent lacklustre revenue performance is a sign of future underperformance relative to industry peers, hurting the P/S. Those who are bullish on Good Times Restaurants will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Good Times Restaurants' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Good Times Restaurants' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Good Times Restaurants' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Still, the latest three year period was better as it's delivered a decent 18% overall rise in revenue. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we can see why Good Times Restaurants is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

What Does Good Times Restaurants' P/S Mean For Investors?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Good Times Restaurants revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Good Times Restaurants has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.