What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after investigating Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology (SHSE:603324), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.08 = CN¥146m ÷ (CN¥3.7b - CN¥1.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Therefore, Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology has an ROCE of 8.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Machinery industry average of 5.5%.
Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology .
In terms of Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 25%, but since then they've fallen to 8.0%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 50%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology. However, despite the promising trends, the stock has fallen 53% over the last three years, so there might be an opportunity here for astute investors. So we think it'd be worthwhile to look further into this stock given the trends look encouraging.
One more thing: We've identified 2 warning signs with Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
While Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.