Guangdong Fenghua Advanced Technology (Holding) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000636) Stock is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

Simply Wall St · 09/28 01:58

Guangdong Fenghua Advanced Technology (Holding) (SZSE:000636) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 13% over the last week. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Guangdong Fenghua Advanced Technology (Holding)'s ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Fenghua Advanced Technology (Holding)

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangdong Fenghua Advanced Technology (Holding) is:

2.4% = CN¥296m ÷ CN¥12b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.02 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Guangdong Fenghua Advanced Technology (Holding)'s Earnings Growth And 2.4% ROE

It is hard to argue that Guangdong Fenghua Advanced Technology (Holding)'s ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 6.4%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 15% seen by Guangdong Fenghua Advanced Technology (Holding) over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

So, as a next step, we compared Guangdong Fenghua Advanced Technology (Holding)'s performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 4.8% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000636 Past Earnings Growth September 28th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Guangdong Fenghua Advanced Technology (Holding)'s's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Guangdong Fenghua Advanced Technology (Holding) Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 31% (where it is retaining 69% of its profits), Guangdong Fenghua Advanced Technology (Holding) has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Additionally, Guangdong Fenghua Advanced Technology (Holding) has paid dividends over a period of nine years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

Summary

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Guangdong Fenghua Advanced Technology (Holding)'s performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.