Shareholders 29% loss in Avicopter (SHSE:600038) partly attributable to the company's decline in earnings over past three years

Simply Wall St · 6d ago

This week we saw the Avicopter Plc (SHSE:600038) share price climb by 12%. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years haven't been great. Specifically, the stock price is down 29% whereas the market is down , having returned (-24%).

The recent uptick of 12% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

View our latest analysis for Avicopter

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Avicopter saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 29% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 11% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term. This positive sentiment is also reflected in the generous P/E ratio of 77.37.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600038 Earnings Per Share Growth September 28th 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Avicopter's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Avicopter shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 3.4% over one year. That's including the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 2% per year over the last half decade. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Avicopter , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.