Sichuan Swellfun Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600779) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 31% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 31% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Sichuan SwellfunLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.5x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 29x and even P/E's higher than 54x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Sichuan SwellfunLtd certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Sichuan SwellfunLtd
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Sichuan SwellfunLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sichuan SwellfunLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 25% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 31% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 15% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Sichuan SwellfunLtd's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
Despite Sichuan SwellfunLtd's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Sichuan SwellfunLtd maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Sichuan SwellfunLtd (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Sichuan SwellfunLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.