Vatti Corporation Limited (SZSE:002035) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 23% is also fairly reasonable.
Even after such a large jump in price, Vatti's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.6x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 29x and even P/E's above 54x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Vatti has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Vatti
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Vatti will help you uncover what's on the horizon.There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Vatti's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 201%. As a result, it also grew EPS by 5.2% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 17% each year during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 19% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Vatti's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
Vatti's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Vatti's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Vatti that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Vatti. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.