What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after investigating Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology (SHSE:688093), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = CN¥220m ÷ (CN¥2.0b - CN¥115m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology has an ROCE of 12%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Chemicals industry average of 5.5% it's much better.
Check out our latest analysis for Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology for free.
In terms of Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 12% from 29% five years ago. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a side note, Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 5.8% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
While returns have fallen for Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. However, despite the promising trends, the stock has fallen 35% over the last three years, so there might be an opportunity here for astute investors. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.