Soochow Securities Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601555) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.3% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, Soochow Securities' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.4x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 29x and even P/E's above 54x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Soochow Securities as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Soochow Securities
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Soochow Securities.Soochow Securities' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 25%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 27% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 11% per year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Soochow Securities' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
Despite Soochow Securities' shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Soochow Securities' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Soochow Securities that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.