Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Kaili Catalyst & New MaterialsLtd (SHSE:688269) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Kaili Catalyst & New MaterialsLtd, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.058 = CN¥66m ÷ (CN¥1.7b - CN¥589m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Therefore, Kaili Catalyst & New MaterialsLtd has an ROCE of 5.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Chemicals industry average of 5.5%.
Check out our latest analysis for Kaili Catalyst & New MaterialsLtd
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Kaili Catalyst & New MaterialsLtd compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Kaili Catalyst & New MaterialsLtd for free.
In terms of Kaili Catalyst & New MaterialsLtd's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 22%, but since then they've fallen to 5.8%. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
On a side note, Kaili Catalyst & New MaterialsLtd's current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 34% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. Keep an eye on this ratio, because the business could encounter some new risks if this metric gets too high.
We're a bit apprehensive about Kaili Catalyst & New MaterialsLtd because despite more capital being deployed in the business, returns on that capital and sales have both fallen. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 66% over the last three years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with Kaili Catalyst & New MaterialsLtd (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.