Revenues Not Telling The Story For Toyou Feiji Electronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300302) After Shares Rise 28%

Simply Wall St · 09/28 00:20

Despite an already strong run, Toyou Feiji Electronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300302) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 6.5% isn't as attractive.

After such a large jump in price, Toyou Feiji Electronics may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 14.9x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Software industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.9x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Toyou Feiji Electronics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300302 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 28th 2024

What Does Toyou Feiji Electronics' Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Toyou Feiji Electronics' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Toyou Feiji Electronics will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Toyou Feiji Electronics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 1.7%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in revenue being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Toyou Feiji Electronics' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Toyou Feiji Electronics' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

The fact that Toyou Feiji Electronics currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Toyou Feiji Electronics (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Toyou Feiji Electronics, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.