Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings Limited (HKG:875) Shares Slammed 27% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless

Simply Wall St · 09/27 23:20

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings Limited (HKG:875) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 62% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Food industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:875 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 27th 2024

What Does Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 62%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 25% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 6.6% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in consideration, it's clear to see why Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings' P/S matches up closely to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on assuming the company will continue keeping a low profile.

The Final Word

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Food industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we've seen, Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings' three-year revenue trends seem to be contributing to its P/S, given they look similar to current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.