There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating Guangdong Yantang Dairy (SZSE:002732), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Guangdong Yantang Dairy, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.084 = CN¥126m ÷ (CN¥1.8b - CN¥322m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
So, Guangdong Yantang Dairy has an ROCE of 8.4%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Food industry average of 7.2%.
Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Yantang Dairy
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of Guangdong Yantang Dairy.
In terms of Guangdong Yantang Dairy's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has employed 44% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 8.4%. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
In summary, Guangdong Yantang Dairy has simply been reinvesting capital and generating the same low rate of return as before. Since the stock has declined 23% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
Like most companies, Guangdong Yantang Dairy does come with some risks, and we've found 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.