Strong week for Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd (SZSE:002247) shareholders doesn't alleviate pain of five-year loss

Simply Wall St · 09/27 23:14

Zhejiang Juli Culture Development Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002247) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 33% in the last quarter. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 38% in that half decade.

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd became profitable within the last five years. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

It could be that the revenue decline of 23% per year is viewed as evidence that Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd is shrinking. This has probably encouraged some shareholders to sell down the stock.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002247 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 27th 2024

If you are thinking of buying or selling Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 10% in the twelve months, Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 19%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 7% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd that you should be aware of.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.