If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at Xinjiang Hongtong Natural Gas (SHSE:605169) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Xinjiang Hongtong Natural Gas is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.071 = CN¥143m ÷ (CN¥2.5b - CN¥486m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
Therefore, Xinjiang Hongtong Natural Gas has an ROCE of 7.1%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Oil and Gas industry average of 10%.
View our latest analysis for Xinjiang Hongtong Natural Gas
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Xinjiang Hongtong Natural Gas' past further, check out this free graph covering Xinjiang Hongtong Natural Gas' past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Xinjiang Hongtong Natural Gas doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 30% over the last five years. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
To conclude, we've found that Xinjiang Hongtong Natural Gas is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Since the stock has declined 39% over the last three years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
Xinjiang Hongtong Natural Gas does have some risks, we noticed 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
While Xinjiang Hongtong Natural Gas may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.