Those holding Xinyi Energy Holdings Limited (HKG:3868) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 45% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Xinyi Energy Holdings' P/E ratio of 9.3x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Hong Kong is also close to 9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Xinyi Energy Holdings' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
See our latest analysis for Xinyi Energy Holdings
Keen to find out how analysts think Xinyi Energy Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.In order to justify its P/E ratio, Xinyi Energy Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 19%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 37% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 13% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 12% per annum, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's understandable that Xinyi Energy Holdings' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.
Xinyi Energy Holdings appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Xinyi Energy Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook is contributing to its current P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a high or low P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Xinyi Energy Holdings (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.
You might be able to find a better investment than Xinyi Energy Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.