Leader Harmonious Drive Systems Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688017) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 29% Share Price Bounce

Simply Wall St · 09/27 22:02

Those holding Leader Harmonious Drive Systems Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688017) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 32% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may consider Leader Harmonious Drive Systems as a stock not worth researching with its 37.7x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Leader Harmonious Drive Systems

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SHSE:688017 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 27th 2024

What Does Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Keen to find out how analysts think Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.5%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 14% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 31% as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 23%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What Does Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' P/S Mean For Investors?

Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Leader Harmonious Drive Systems maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Machinery industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Leader Harmonious Drive Systems has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.