Take Care Before Jumping Onto Promisia Healthcare Limited (NZSE:PHL) Even Though It's 40% Cheaper

Simply Wall St · 09/27 18:06

Promisia Healthcare Limited (NZSE:PHL) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 40% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.

Following the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies in New Zealand have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider Promisia Healthcare as an attractive investment with its 9.6x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Promisia Healthcare has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Promisia Healthcare

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NZSE:PHL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 27th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Promisia Healthcare will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Promisia Healthcare's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Promisia Healthcare would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 135% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 2,018% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it odd that Promisia Healthcare is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

The softening of Promisia Healthcare's shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Promisia Healthcare revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Promisia Healthcare (3 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).