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INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS PITCH TENTS IN THE NEUTRAL CAMP - AAII
Neutral sentiment among individual investors over the short-term outlook for U.S. stocks rose in the latest American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey. With this, both optimism and pessimism fell slightly.
Meanwhile, more than half of investors surveyed thought the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates was the right decision.
AAII reported that neutral sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, rose 3.9 percentage points to 26.7%. Neutral sentiment is below its historical average of 31.5% for the 12th consecutive week.
Bullish sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, slipped 1.2 percentage points to 49.6%. Bullish sentiment is "unusually high" for the second consecutive week and is above its historical average of 37.5% for the 46th time in 47 weeks.
Bearish sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, dipped 2.7 percentage points to 23.7%. Bearish sentiment is below its historical average of 31.0% for the sixth time in seven weeks.
With these changes, the bull-bear spread ticked up 1.5 percentage points to 25.9% percentage points from 24.4% last week. The spread is above its historical average of 6.5% for the 20th time in 21 weeks.
In this week’s special question, AAII asked its members about their views on the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points:
Here is AAII's graphic showing how they responded:
(Terence Gabriel)
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