Modi Rubber Limited's (NSE:MODIRUBBER) Share Price Boosted 29% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Simply Wall St · 08/31 02:02

Modi Rubber Limited (NSE:MODIRUBBER) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 82% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 35x, you may still consider Modi Rubber as an attractive investment with its 17.5x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

For instance, Modi Rubber's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Modi Rubber

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:MODIRUBBER Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 31st 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Modi Rubber's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Modi Rubber would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 13% decrease to the company's bottom line. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Modi Rubber is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

What We Can Learn From Modi Rubber's P/E?

Modi Rubber's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Modi Rubber revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Modi Rubber that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Modi Rubber. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).