Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:VISTAA) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month. The last month tops off a massive increase of 127% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Vista Energy. de's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.4x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Mexico is similar at about 12x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
Vista Energy. de certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
View our latest analysis for Vista Energy. de
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Vista Energy. de.There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Vista Energy. de's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 22%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 49% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Vista Energy. de is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
Vista Energy. de's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Vista Energy. de currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Vista Energy. de (at least 2 which make us uncomfortable), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.